U.S. stocks closed narrowly mixed in choppy trade on Friday, as disappointing data weighed on investor sentiment amid dollar declines and lower bond yields. (Tweet This)
The S&P 500 gained 1.6 points to set a second record close for the week, after ending at a high on Thursday. The Dow Jones industrial average also closed higher, less than 20 points below its record close. The Nasdaq ended mildly lower, remaining within 50 points of its closing high.
Stocks posted mild gains for the week, with the Nasdaq the best performer.
Netflix jumped more than 4.5 percent to above $600 a share for the first time after Chinese media executives at BesTV New Media and Wasu Media Holding told the Wall Street Journal they have held early talks with Netflix. No decisions were made.
Stocks dipped, briefly extending losses, after the University ofMichigan’s consumer sentiment report came in at 88.6, the lowest in 7 months.
“I think most market participants are going to focus more on the meaningful numbers than the surveys,” said Ben Pace, chief investment officer at HPM Partners. The industrial production data “connotes an economy that isn’t growing fast enough for the Fed to tighten soon.”
Adding to the week’s disappointing economic reports, industrial production fell 0.3 percent in April, the fifth straight month of declines as reduced mining and utilities output weighed, Reuters said. Expectations were for a gain of 0.1 percent.
Empire Manufacturing data showed a reading of 3.09, below expectations of 5 but above last month’s negative figure.
“The data generally has not seen the bounce (economists expected),” said Marie Schofield, chief economist at Columbia Threadneedle Investments, noting more pressure from the dollar and oil than from seasonal factors. “To the degree that there’s a bounce from weather, that’s not much of a bounce.”
The abatement of some of those pressures keeps the economy on track for longer-term growth.
“It’s a one-time hit because eventually investment spending in the energy sector will stop falling,” said David Lefkowitz, senior equity strategist at UBS Wealth Management Americas, referring to the industrial production data. “There still are plenty of wells that are still quite attractive. On top of that we’ve seen oil prices rise.”
Crude oil settled down 19 cents at $59.69 a barrel, eking out a weekly gain for an unprecedented 9th week in a row, according to Reuters data going back to 1983.
The commodity is up about 34 percent since the lows of the year. Prices held steady on Friday after oilfield services firm Baker Hughes reported drillers took off 8 rigs out of U.S. oilfields, continuing a decline of more than 5 months.
On Tuesday, bond yields hit six-month highs of 2.366 percent on the U.S. 10-year and 3.128 percent on the 30-year. Most analysts said the moves in the fixed-income market remain within a range.
“The market is reflecting a calmer bond market situation. Yields are down again. That should be supportive to the market,” said Peter Cardillo, chief market economist at Rockwell Global Capital.
The major stock indices fluctuated around the flatline, with the S&P trading briefly topping its closing high set on Thursday but holding below its intraday record.
“One of the reasons stocks are going higher is people are reallocating out of fixed income,” said JJ Kinahan, chief strategist at TD Ameritrade. “The dollar hasn’t had the volatility we’ve had in bonds.”
The U.S. dollar declined for the fifth straight week, the longest weekly losing streak since December 2013. The euro gained to $1.1448.
Analysts also noted options expiration on Friday as a factor behind market movements.
Stocks rallied on Thursday, with the S&P 500 closing at a record of 2,121.10, as investors cheered weakness in the dollar and calmer bond markets, amid mixed data.
“This breakout is now confirming the interest rate surge is now done with,” said Lance Roberts, general partner at STA Wealth Management, noting a similar stabilization in the dollar rally.
If the S&P can close above 2,115 on Friday, there is a short-term bullish bias for the market, he said.
The S&P 500 closed up 1.63 points, or 0.08 percent, at 2,122.73, with utilities leading seven sectors higher and financials the greatest laggard.
The Nasdaq closed down 2.5 points, or 0.05 percent, at 5,048.29.
The CBOE Volatility Index (VIX), widely considered the best gauge of fear in the market, traded near 12.
About three stocks advanced for every two decliners on the New York Stock Exchange, with an exchange volume of 828 million and a composite volume of nearly 3.1 billion in the close.
High-frequency trading accounted for 47.5 percent of May to date’s daily trading volume of about 6.5 billion shares, according to TABB Group. During the peak levels of high-frequency trading in 2009, about 61 percent of 9.8 billion of average daily shares traded were executed by high-frequency traders.
Gold futures settled up 10 cents to $1,225.30 an ounce, for a second-straight week of gains.
In corporate news:
Keurig Green Mountain—CLSA reduced its fiscal year 2016 estimates and price target to $103 from $108 after the coffee-machine maker’s Kold system demonstration gave higher-than-anticipated suggested pricing. CLSA maintains an “underperform” rating on the stock and projects lower household penetration. Shares plunged more than 6.5 percent in pre-market trade.
UPS—Goldman Sachs upgraded the stock to “buy” from “neutral” and raised its price target to $119, citing a positive skew in the risk/reward proposition and stronger-than-expected pricing in ground delivery services. Goldman also raised its view on logistics firms to “attractive” from “neutral.”